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2024-12-14 11:30:23

Analyze tomorrow's A-share trend with technical depthThird, the worry about the correction of CSI 2000 index and micro-cap stock index has always haunted me. This morning, small-cap stocks have begun to show signs of fatigue. Although they were forcibly pulled up by the main force to turn the corner, it is still difficult to hide the fact that their gains are too high. The CSI 2000 index shows a series of signals indicating that the short-term is seriously overbought, such as the daily wedge structure, the top deviation of the index and the breakdown of the upper rail of the Bollinger Band index, which all indicate that the adjustment may be close at hand.Second, the constraint of pressure level should not be underestimated. Three pressure lines, red, blue and black, can be clearly seen from the relevant charts, which are almost coincident at the current position and form a rather dense pressure area. This means that tomorrow's index will face great challenges and resistance if it wants to launch an upward impact.


Returning to the judgment of the trend of A shares tomorrow is mainly based on the following three reasons:Based on the above analysis, I personally tend to think that there is a greater probability that the Shanghai Composite Index will rise and fall tomorrow. As for how A shares will be interpreted tomorrow, please refer to my carefully drawn forecast chart of tomorrow's trend.Third, the worry about the correction of CSI 2000 index and micro-cap stock index has always haunted me. This morning, small-cap stocks have begun to show signs of fatigue. Although they were forcibly pulled up by the main force to turn the corner, it is still difficult to hide the fact that their gains are too high. The CSI 2000 index shows a series of signals indicating that the short-term is seriously overbought, such as the daily wedge structure, the top deviation of the index and the breakdown of the upper rail of the Bollinger Band index, which all indicate that the adjustment may be close at hand.


I have to admit that my prediction in the past two trading days runs counter to the actual trend of the market, and the strong performance of the market exceeds the expectations of technical analysis. Therefore, my opinion is only my shallow opinion based on the technical level, not investment advice, only for exchange and discussion.However, as a technical senior investor, he still needs to return to the technical side to find the answer after calming down. Although the news will have an impact, in the annual trading hours, its frequent periods account for a relatively small proportion, and technical analysis is still a key weapon to grasp the market context, and it must not be abandoned because of temporary interference.The recent market trends are unpredictable. These two days, during the heavy meeting, the news was surging, and the good news spread frequently, which made me even waver in technical analysis today. After all, in the short term, the technical aspects seemed to be submerged by the wave of news and almost failed.

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